Follow by Email

Thursday, November 5, 2015

Election Update

It's been a while since I wrote about next year's Presidential election. Hillary Clinton seems on course to wrap up the Democratic Party nomination, and in spite of the attention paid by the media to Ben Carson and Donald Trump, I think that Marco Rubio has the inside track ("The Republican Establishment Inches Toward Marco Rubio"). He is climbing in the polls, and more importantly, he's picking up endorsements while the other candidates are not, and at this point in an election, endorsements are a better predictor of who wins the nomination than polls ("The Party Decides" "The Endorsement Primary").

Perhaps a more interesting question concerns next year's general election. Currently, it appears that it's Clinton's election to lose, but it's unclear what state the economy will be in this time then ("We Have (Almost) No Idea What The Economy Will Look Like On Election Day"). If it's humming along, then Hillary has a good chance of wining, but if it tanks between now and then, we could be watching Marco Rubio take the oath of office in January of 2017.

No comments:

Post a Comment